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Projecting the Specialty Clinician Supply: 2010-2025

A new report from the National Center for Health Workforce Analysis looks at projected changes in the nation’s supply of specialty and sub-specialty physicians, advanced practice nurses, and physician assistants.

Key findings include:

  • The supply of full-time equivalent [FTE] non-primary care physicians is forecast to grow 21% by 2025.
  • Physical medicine/rehabilitation and emergency medicine will see the largest growth, while declines are expected for critical care medicine, occupational medicine, and thoracic surgery.
  • The future supply of physicians on a per capita basis will vary, with growth in pediatric sub-specialties and obstetrics-gynecology and drops in cardiology, psychiatry and general surgery.
  • Growth of advanced nurse practitioners — 141% for FTEs  — and to a lesser extent, physician assistants is also projected.

Source: National Center for Health Workforce Analysis. Projecting the Supply of Non-Primary Care Specialty and Subspecialty Clinicians: 2010-2025. Health Resources and Services Administration, June 2014.

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